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Memo to: MCJ Capital Partners

From: M. Carter Johnson

Re: Q3 2020 Performance Update

Date: 10/15/2020


Dear Partners & Friends,

 For Q3 of 2020 our total return was +16.29% compared to +8.47% for the broader S&P Index, +7.53% for the broader MSCI World index, and +7.63% for the Dow Jones Industrial Average.  

Since inception (as marked as February 12, 2020), our total return is +29.22% compared to -0.25% for the broader S&P Index, -2.63% for the broader MSCI World index, and -5.99% for the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

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Commentary on Q3

Overall, the marketable securities of our companies performed exceptionally well on both an absolute and relative basis over the quarter. As an investor, I would strongly caution you against expecting this type of performance as a normal occurrence. While it is exciting to beat the traditional benchmarks by such healthy margins, my focus is, and will remain on finding the best companies we can own at the most attractive prices. There will be extended periods of time where the marketable securities of our companies lag in performance. During the good and not so good times I would encourage you to focus on how well our companies are executing and growing their intrinsic value.

 

 Commentary on Our Companies

Our quarterly updates present me with an opportunity to familiarize you with both the businesses we own and individual investment theses we have made. I spend a lot of time immersed in these companies and my hope is in time I can communicate to you what I see and why we own these companies. A few highlights related to this past quarter:

Parks! America (PRKA) – Our thesis on Parks! America worked out exceptionally well. Over the prior quarter, organic growth in attendance sales rose 33.6%. In addition, Parks! America was able to complete their acquisition of the Texas safari park, Aggieland. The growth in organic sales combined with the acquisition of Aggieland led to a year over year net sales increase of 50.7%. Perhaps more impressive, for the quarter, the company reported net income of $1,266,175 compared to $618,695 over the same period last year, a 104% increase.

Roper Technologies (ROP) – Roper Technologies continues to leverage its unique position as being one of the preferred buyers of large software operations from private equity funds. As you may or may not be aware, private equity groups must exit businesses they acquire to return capital to their investors. Roper Technologies utilizes its permanent capital structure to acquire and hold these companies indefinitely. Company leadership has a proven disciplined capital allocation approach, using their internal metric of CRI or “Cash Return on Investment” ({cash earnings}/{gross fixed assets + net working capital}) as the guiding beacon for deploying capital. Acquisition companies must fair better than the collective enterprise average. This keeps the entire Roper Technologies machine cycling upward. Most recently, the company completed the acquisition of Denver, Colorado based Vertafore. Vertafore operates a cloud based system that simplifies the P&C Insurance business for agencies and carriers. The company serves over 20,000 P&C agencies and 1,000 insurance carriers. Overall, Vertafore should contribute close to $600 million in top line sales (a 10% boost to Roper Technologies overall), and an additional $220 million in cash flow. And to think, this is just one of Roper’s 40+ wonderful businesses.

Diploma PLC (DPML) - This past quarter we were able to build our position in Diploma PLC. I’ve long admired Diploma from afar but it wasn’t until I really pulled back the layers of the company that I was able to fully appreciate just how good of a business it is. Diploma is an absolute machine. The company operates an assortment of businesses across three verticals, providing customers with mission essential consumable products. Diploma has built up a number of superior competitive advantages, one of which is an infrastructure that allows for most customers to receive their highly specialized mission critical part the very next day. If the consistent growth, wonderful margins, and superior returns on capital don’t excite you, maybe understanding how Diploma redeploys cash flow will... Similar to Heico, the company uses cash flow to acquire other small niche operators. The acquisitions are immediately plugged into Diploma’s distribution network making the underlying operations of the acquired company more valuable while simultaneously strengthening the collective fortitude of the overall group of businesses that Diploma operates. What potentially makes Diploma’s model more powerful than Heico, is the level of fragmentation in its end markets parlayed with the runway opportunity due to Diploma’s size (DPLM has a market cap of only £2.74 billion).

Shortly after we built our position, Diploma announced it was acquiring Windy City Wire (WCW) for £357 million. While we would prefer Diploma to continue deploying capital in smaller (but greater quantity) acquisitions, the purchase of Windy City Wire seems to be an attractive business that fits well in one of Diploma’s core verticals. 97% of WCW’s customer orders are reoccurring with no single customer making up more than 2% of overall revenue. In addition, the company’s EBITDA margins are north of 23% with operating cash flow growing at a three year CAGR of 25%. WCW should serve as a nice platform allowing Diploma to further accelerate bolt on acquisition opportunities in the United States.

  

Additional Thoughts and Considerations

I am still trying to figure out which benchmarks are the most appropriate for us to measure our results against. Up to this point I have included comparisons to the S&P, MSCI World and Dow Jones indices in our quarterly updates. To be honest, I’m not sure how fair that is to you as an investor, and here rest the conundrum… Of our current businesses, only four are included in the S&P index, only two are included in the Russell 2000 (one of which overlaps the S&P), none are included in the Dow Jones, and 14 are left out by most traditional index benchmarks altogether. Segmented geographically, roughly 32% of our portfolio weighting is made up of companies outside of the United States. As for size, that too presents issues. We own two companies with market caps less than $30 million while also holding a company with a market cap over $88 billion. Collectively, by my calculations three of our companies would be considered “nano cap,” seven would be considered “small cap,” three would be “mid cap” and six would be “large cap.”

I’ve consulted perimeters outlined by the Association of Chartered Alternative Investment Analysts, in which the HFRI Equity Hedge (Total) Index seems to be their recommendation as the most appropriate benchmark. I’ve also investigated the argument to utilize something like the MidCap 400 which would hypothetically be the median average market cap weighting of our positions. Overall, I’m still not convinced either of these give you the best measurement.

 I would appreciate and welcome any thoughts you have on the matter. In addition, please know I’m always open to pulling what data I can for you to measure our results against whatever benchmark you feel personally is best. Overall, my goal isn’t to replicate any specific index as I think you would agree there are passive index funds for that. My goal and number one focus is to find good companies at fair prices. I’m comfortable owning good companies regardless of their size, geography or index inclusion and I hope you are too.

As always, I’m thankful for the trust you have given me in being a steward of your capital. It energizes me knowing others believe in what we are trying to do at MCJ Capital Partners. I do not take the responsibility lightly and hope to keep improving to further our overall performance.

 

 Sincerely, 

M. Carter Johnson

The performance results shown are those of the first account under management of MCJ Capital Partners LLC (“MCJ”) and are the result of the application of MCJ’s proprietary investment process. These performance results are presented net of brokerage fees, and custodial fees. No management fee was charged in 2020. A client’s return with respect to an investment would be reduced by any fees or expenses a client may incur in the management of its investment advisory account, including if MCJ were to charge an investment advisory fee in the future. The performance results include the reinvestment of dividends and interest on cash balances where applicable.

All performance results are unaudited and are not an estimate of any specific investor’s actual performance, which may be materially different from such performance depending on numerous factors. No representations or warranties whatsoever are made by MCJ or any other person or entity as to the future profitability of an investment account or the results of making an investment. All information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be deemed as advice in relation to legal, taxation, or investment matters. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Each of the S&P 500 Index, the MSCI Index, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average (each, an “Index”) is an unmanaged index of securities that is used as a general measure of market performance, and its performance is not reflective of the performance of any specific investment. The Index comparisons are provided for informational purposes only and should not be used as the basis for making an investment decision. Further, the performance of an account managed by MCJ and each Index may not be comparable. There may be significant differences between an account managed by MCJ and each Index, including, but not limited to, risk profile, liquidity, volatility and asset comparison. The performance shown for each Index reflects no deduction for client withdrawals, fees or expenses. Accordingly, comparisons against the Index may be of limited use. Investments cannot be made directly into an Index.

MCJ offers investment advisory services and is registered with the state of Colorado. Registration does not constitute an endorsement of the advisory firm by the Colorado Securities Commissioner nor does it indicate that the advisory firm has attained a particular level of skill or ability. All content on this tear sheet is general in nature, not directed or tailored to any particular person, and is for informational purposes only. Neither this tear sheet nor its contents are offered as investment advice and should not be deemed as investment advice or a recommendation to purchase or sell any specific security. In addition, neither this tear sheet nor its contents should be construed as legal, tax, or other advice. Individuals are urged to consult with their own tax or legal advisers before entering into any advisory contract.

The information contained herein reflects the current expectations and opinions of MCJ as of the date of publication, which are subject to change without notice at any time. MCJ does not represent that any expectation or opinion will be realized. While the information presented herein is believed to be reliable, no representation or warranty is made concerning the accuracy of any data presented. Neither MCJ nor any of its advisers, officers, directors, or affiliates represents that the information presented in this tear sheet is accurate, current or complete, and such information is subject to change without notice. No representations or warranties whatsoever are made by MCJ or any other person or entity as to the future profitability of an investment account or the results of making an investment.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

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